Showing posts with label Deutsche Telekom. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Deutsche Telekom. Show all posts

From Alexander Graham Bell to AT&T: The World's Telecom Leaders


Telecommunications would not be the same if not for the big names out there – not only are the biggest companies on the globe able to deliver wider coverage, but they also have the know-how and the resources to invest in cutting-edge tech that brings new developments to the market. This is how we got from the old-fashioned receiver landline phones to 5G high-speed internet-connected smartphones. And the world’s biggest and richest telecom companies keep up the race towards the next step in consumer-oriented tech – even if they are not always quite able to make good on their promises when it comes to their real coverage. Today we examine the best and most ambitious among the pack.
AT&T
With $163 billion in yearly sales, AT&T has surpassed all competition, including China Mobile and Japanese leader Nippon to climb at the top of Forbes 25 Biggest Telecom Companies in 2017. The Forbes list brings together companies from 17 countries across the globe that collectively reach a market cap of $1.6 billion. In 2016, their combined revenues amounted to $1.2 trillion and profits reached $88 billion among them. AT&T rose to the top of the rankings after it decided to buy DirecTV, a satellite broadcast company, in 2015 and went on to create the concept of AT&T entertainment. Short for American Telephone and Telegraph Company, AT&T can trace its roots back to Alexander Graham Bell himself, the legendary inventor of the telephone, as it was established as one of the subsidiaries of the Bell Telephone Company back in 1885 and then went on to buy its parent company a few years later for legal grounds. Headquartered in Texas, USA, the company is one of the largest mobile and landline phone service providers in America.
Verizon
Verizon Communications Inc., another US-based company that has its headquarters in New York, comes in second in the world. Interestingly, Verizon is what came of AT&T’s decision to divest its regional operations following a mandate from the US government in the 1980s. Bell Atlantic was one of seven companies that broke off from AT&T and in 2000 took on the ambitious name Verizon – a combination of the Latin word for truth, “veritas”, and “horizon”. It is currently run by chairman and CEO Lowell McAdam, who successfully headed the company into buying AOL and then later Yahoo! to branch out into the media sector. The two new companies were incorporated into a new sector, taking on the equally ambitious name “Oath”. It is publicly traded in both the NYSE and Nasdaq stock markets and in Q4, 2017, Verizon Wireless topped its market with over 150 million subscribers, leaving AT&T behind at a little more than 141 million.
Grupo Carso Conglomerate
A bit further south, we find Grupo Carso Conglomerate, a Mexican conglomerate company that is leading the Latin American market. It was founded in the 1990s by Carlos Slim and was named after a portmanteau of his and his wife’s name, which is Soumaya. According to Betway Casino’s billionaires’ journeys list, Carlos Slim is among the richest people in the world with a wealth that reaches $67.1 billion – and he became a billionaire at 51 years old. His empire includes Telmex, a telecom company that serves most of Latin America, including Mexico, Argentina, Brazil, Peru, Colombia, Chile and other countries in the area, as well as América Móvil, a Forbes Global 2000 company with services ranging from Honduras and Jamaica to Mexico and Uruguay, and Telcel, one of the largest wireless communications companies in Mexico with wide coverage all over the country.
Deutsche Telecom AG
One of the most recognizable mobile service providers worldwide, T-Mobile has seen its trademark magenta logo in stores across Europe and the US, serving customers from Austria and the Netherlands all the way across the Atlantic to the New World. It is all part of Deutsche Telecom AG, one of the leading European telecommunications giants, headquartered in Bonn, Germany. Deutsche Telecom also holds a significant interest in Telecom, a major service provider in Central Europe and the Balkans region, as well as Greek market telecom leader OTE. It also owned half of EE, UK’s largest mobile network, along with Orange, but divested in 2016.
China Mobile
One of the top companies worldwide, state-owned China Mobile mainly serves mainland China with services ranging from mobile network to multimedia – and pretty much dominates the Chinese market. In March 2018 its mobile service subscribers reached 898,537,000 individuals, with almost 4 million new customers added in that month alone. The company is listed at NYSE and its value in May 2018 reached more than $47 billion, making it one of the richest telecom companies across the globe.
The telecoms industry is a constant struggle between ambitious newcomers and savvy, trustworthy names. Yet, however the power dynamics between companies may change, the developments in tech and service keep moving forward to new frontiers.

T-Mobile Service Plans and Coverage Review

Coverage:  T-Mobile's coverage can be spotty in a few areas around the United States and Mexico, but not as bad as most people proclaim it to be.  Their features and flexibility far outweigh the lack of connectivity in most areas and provide the most valuable data plans.  If you don't have coverage in many areas simply make calls through T-Mobile's WiFi android app on some smartphones.  This is huge so you don't if you make a lot of calls indoors in remote places.  If you live in a major metropolitan area it is likely you will have comparable coverage to AT&T and Verizon 3G in most areas.  One benefit of being a smaller carrier means you are likely competing against fewer customers for network capacity. T-Mobile now has the best 4G (HSPA+) coverage and its great to be a customer with fewer people competing for coverage on the HSPA+ network.  The difference between 3G and 4G LTE is not that significant in my opinion if you are not downloading the video.  Nevada and some of the mountain states are some notable dead zones in their coverage network and even Northern California and Oregon have quite a few miles where service is not available. T-Mobile has network coverage in every state except Alaska, reception in rural areas can be spotty. Also, as with all carriers, the reception will vary due to location. International coverage is available in more than 187 countries. Their website does have a nice feature that allows you to check coverage areas by inputting your zip code and overlaps nicely with dead zones reported on our map on the right. If you travel a lot, they do have international service options, but it will cost you as roaming charges do apply.

Plans:  T-Mobile leads these carriers in free minutes and value now offering unlimited plans without long term contracts. Prepaid cards are affordable if you only want a short term plan.  For the money, they offer the freest minutes of any plan and likely the most value depending on where you live. T-Mobile offers more plans that are typically less expensive, particularly for Internet access, text, and multimedia messaging services. They offer several plans including business plans, pre-paid, family, and individual plans. They do offer free phones subsidized phones, including camera phones, but if you want to choose a different phone than the one they offer you will have to pay for it.

Other features
  • Unlimited data plans still exist for some customers grandfathered. 
  • Offers unlimited calling plans without long term contracts is a great selling point
  • As a GSM carrier and a subsidiary of Germany's Deutsche Telekom, T-Mobile has extensive international roaming and thousands of Wi-Fi hotspots in the United States and Europe.
  • Of the major carriers, T-Mobile received the highest customer service rating by J.D. Power and Associates for several consecutive years.
  • T-Mobile is the only major carrier not to offer push-to-talk services.
  • We recommended you monitor your text messaging usage closely and get on an unlimited plan so you don't get charged the outrageous .25 cents per message if you go over.
  • Has 4G Coverage now in most cities. 
  • 5G LTE plans will come soon but 4G HSPA+ is plenty fast.  
  • T-Mobile has an Android phone with unlimited data plans.  We highly recommend it!
  • T-Mobile & Sprint merged but they are keeping separate business brand units similar to when they purchased MetroPCS. 

Finding the best best cell phone coverage just got easier by comparing cell phone coverage reports from other customers. Which wireless carrier has the worst cell phone coverage?

Other Reviews:
Feedback is always welcome.  Please submit your comments below.

@TMobileHelp Twitter Chatter

T-Mobile And Sprint Are In Active Talks About A Merger

T-Mobile And Sprint Possible Merger Logo

Both companies and their parents, Deutsche Telekom and Softbank, have been in frequent conversations about a stock-for-stock merger in which T-Mobile parent Deutsche Telekom would emerge as the majority owner.

People close to the situation stress that negotiators are still weeks away from finalizing a deal and believe the chances of reaching an agreement are not assured. The two sides have not yet set an exchange ratio for a deal, but are currently engaged in talks to hammer out a term sheet. T-Mobile and Sprint have had a seemingly endless dalliance over the years since Softbank took control of Sprint, pushed by the prospect of billions of dollars in cost synergies that a merger would bring.

The last time the two companies held meaningful talks earlier this year, Softbank's Masayoshi Son indicated a willingness to sell Sprint to T-Mobile. This time, given the all-stock nature contemplated, Softbank would emerge as a large minority holder in any combination. While T-Mobile CEO John Legere is expected to lead any combination that results from a merger, Son has made it clear he wants a say in how the company is run. That desire adds another layer of complexity to an already difficult transaction.

T-Mobile has not begun due diligence on Sprint, yet another step that could change current price expectations or the willingness to move forward. The biggest issue is whether any merger between the No. 3 and No. 4 wireless carriers in the nation would be approved by antitrust regulators. The risk of rejection by the Department of Justice will play an important role in the final decision made by both sides as to whether they will proceed with a deal.

Top Cell Tower Lease Rates by State

Who Leases Cell Phone Towers Pie Chart
Carriers Leasing Cell Phone Tower Space
What is the value of leasing a property or cell tower these days in various states? Here are some lease rate ranges we have uncovered from various sources the internet and have sorted this list from most lucrative to least lucrative.  What is most interesting about the States ranked below is that the most expensive lease states have the worse Verizon Wireless 3G coverage.  Verizon Wireless is spending a lot of money on LTE and we think these are the areas they are focusing on first.  The rates below apply to locations that will have more than 1,000 calls or data connections per hour at peak times and would require multiple carriers like AT&T, T-Mobile, Sprint, Clearwire, MetroPCS, Tracfone or another smaller regional carrier to be piggybacking on the same site.  Here is a list of what the rates could be ranked in order:

Massachusetts - $91K - $535K
New York - $30K to $535K
New Jersey - $39K - $514K
Maryland - $121K - $489K
Vermont - $92K - $412K
Arizona - $17K - $283K
New Hampshire - $158K - $412K
Pennsylvania - $23K - $331K
Florida - $20K - $310K
Georgia - $25K - $265K
Rhode Island - $27K - $290K
Virginia - $65K - $230K
Alabama - $25K - $226K
North Carolina - $23K - $206K
Alaska - $14K - $161K
Maine - $88K - $157K
West Virginia - $87K - $105K
Washington DC - $80K - $123K
South Carolina - $25K - $83K

Some of the variable determining lease rates include: Location, Cell Tower Type, Height, Latitude and Longitude, FCC Identification Number (if registered), Carriers on the Tower (if any), Owner of the Tower, Initial Owner/Developer of the Tower, Ground Lease Rate, Collocation Lease Rates

AT&T T-Mobile $3B Break-Up Fee in Escrow?


AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T) on Tuesday sold $3 billion of bonds in a two-part debt offering comprising five- and 10-year notes, according to a person familiar with the transaction.  Is this the $3B break-up fee required to pay Deutsche Telecom (PINK: DTEGY) if the merger fails to get approved?

The $1.75 billion, five-year piece bearing a 2.95% coupon priced at a discount to yield 2.989%, or 0.97 percentage point over comparable government debt; while the 10-year, $1.25 billion piece with a 4.45% coupon priced to yield 4.459%, or 1.15 percentage points over Treasury's. Proceeds from the notes, which were rated A2 by Moody's Investors Service, will be used for general corporate purposes.

Barclays Capital (NYSE: BCS), Citigroup (NYSE: C), Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) and Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) were joint leads on the deal, supported by Williams Capital as a co-manager. Read more from WSJ.  What does this mean for the probability of the AT&T $20B bridge loan that JPMorgan (NYSE: JPM) is leading?

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Clearwire CEO T-Mobile Founder Objects to AT&T Merger


Former Voicestream Wireless (T-Mobile USA) founder and now Clearwire's new CEO John Stanton the "Wireless Wiz Kid" in an interview on CNBC voiced his objection to the proposed AT&T buyout of T-Mobile. AT&T's device exclusivity was already a problem with AT&T, such as its recently ended iPhone exclusive. The concentration of buying power would only get worse if the carrier had that much more clout and 130M, customers. John Stanton does not approve of the merger between T-Mobile and AT&T and yet he struggles with his view because he doesn't want the US Government to get involved but thinks it has to.

Deutsche Telekom Was Losing Money on T-Mobile USA


A decade after paying $28.5 billion for T-Mobile USA, Deutsche Telekom AG (DTE) is now selling the company for $39B to AT&T.  This would be a 25% premium over the price it paid less any investment capital put into the company. T-Mobile USA was not a good investment for Deutsche Telekom had the parent company has been a weak partner with tepid dedication to the US market controlled by AT&T and Verizon lobbyist. The company has lost money for the fifth consecutive year and lacked the investment capital from the parent company to adequately compete. T-Mobile USA’s net income fell 7.9% to $1.35 billion last year. If T-Mobile was a stand alone publically trading company it would have roughly have a $16.8 billion market capitalization with a PE ratio of 12.4 as the average. No wonder why they took the deal at $39B.

Verizon and AT&T pump billions of dollars into advertising and marketing to drown out the smaller players in the market while charging 25% premium for their services. Consumers are getting screwed by these large corporate giants and government regulators continue to look the other way and ignore unfair competitive issues.T-Mobile obviously needs a new home but not in the hands of the largest competitor AT&T who will screw its customers. It makes more sense for a company like Sprint or Google to buy the company but they are not likely to pay the price of $40 billion.

Related Story:
Why is Deutsche Telekom Selling T-Mobile?

Why is Deutsche Telekom Selling T-Mobile?

Why is Deutsche Telekom Selling US Assets T-Mobile USA?

ADR shares of German-based Deutsche Telekom PINK: DTEGY soared more than 12% as the parent company shareholders seemed to like the sale of the firm's T-Mobile USA unit to AT&T in a $39-billion deal.  In contrast AT&T's stock NYSE: T was only up 1% on the news.  AT&T's acquisition is looking more like a hostile takeover the way these stocks traded today and the way that cell phone tower stocks tanked on the news.  It isn't widely known that Deutsche Telekom has been losing money on the transaction and has lost 59% of its value since closing the transaction years ago.  The company has reported profit declines in 4 of the last 5 years.  

Why does Deutsche Telecom want out of the US?  The map above shows a very large company that has assets telecom assets all over the world. Is this about creating value for shareholders or a currency war?  It makes me suspicious since the Dollar / Euro trades near an all-time low?  Do German shareholders fear a sudden rise in the dollar or drop in the Euro and thus making a market timing decision on the sale?  They could theoretically lose 40% of the T-Mobile USA value if the Euro / Dollar went back to par value and they didn't sell the company.   Do the German's fear another US recession is on the way and are not willing to wait for other rumored mergers like Sprint and Orange UK.  The deal sounds like a no-brainer to me if you are on the management team of Deutsche Telecom because even if the deal is not approved you still win with a $3B breakup fee and some of AT&T's LTE spectrum. 

T-Mobile Gets $3B Breakup Fee if AT&T Merger Approval Fails


If the AT&T and T-Mobile merger fails to gain approval from the FCC, FTC and DOJ then AT&T will pay T-Mobile a $3 billion breakup fee and transfer over some AWS spectrum it doesn’t need for its LTE deployment and grant T-Mobile a roaming agreement at an unknown value. The reverse breakup fee is about 7.5% of the total purchase price and the typical fee in takeovers is often closer to 3 percent. Is T-Mobile just playing poker knowing the deal won't ultimately get approved?  Agreeing to this merger could simply be a smart way for T-Mobile to gain more LTE spectrum and become more competitive in their conversion to LTE.  Did Deutsche simply sucker AT&T in to getting more money and coverage because they get paid regardless.   Very smart if you ask me and hope the real winner here is T-Mobile and their customers.  

“The breakup fee was very important to us in the negotiations,” Deutsche Telekom Chief Financial Officer Timotheus Hoettges said on a conference call today. “In the intensive discussions, with lawyers, economists, we concluded that we could be optimistic that we could get regulatory approval.”  See Bloomberg  Deutsche Telekom negotiated with AT&T to pay the $3 billion and give it rights to some wireless spectrum if the merger deal could not be completed. 

US Wireless Subscribers Pie Chart Post AT&T & T-Mobile Merger

This is what the US wireless subscriber market will look like post an AT&T and T-Mobile merger.  Does this look like a pie chart that is promoting fair competition?  Is it fair that these two companies are the highest paying dividend stocks (5% annual) on Wall Street?   shareholder payout is approximately $10 billion dollars per year and the Verizon dividend is approximately $5 billion dollars per year.  Are our FCC and DOJ protecting us from the competition when the US is far behind the rest of the World with data speeds and connectivity?

If AT&T controls 130M customers and Verizon 102 million this will wipe out any ability for competition.  Sprint is already in trouble with its financial problems and will never be a formidable competitor. T-Mobile was actually starting to do some disruptive things to the largest two carriers Verizon and AT&T before the acquisition took place.  The technology disruption in using WiFi, 4G, and HSPA+ alone was enough to get AT&T to swoop in a buy the company to shut them up.   This chart alone should concern the Department of Justice when considering if there is fair competition in an already corrupt industry.  I will go on record to say that this merger will be the worst in US history for customers and competition if it goes through.  

10 Reasons Why AT&T is Bad for T-Mobile Customers

#1 - AT&T Customer Service is Horrible and T-Mobile is Rated #1
#2 - T-Mobile has the fastest 4G network
#3 - AT&T has too many iPhones on their already congested network
#4 - T-Mobile's data plans are priced more reasonably than AT&T about 25% less
#5 - AT&T charges customers for WiFi tethering
#6 - T-Mobile & Google have had a great partnership and this will hurt their relationship
#7 - AT&T drops more calls than any other network
#8 - T-Mobile customers will start competing for coverage with 130M instead of 34M
#9 - T-Mobile has unlimited data plans that AT&T will remove
#10 - T-Mobile uses WiFi to fix dead zones and not the AT&T Microcell that has issues.

T-Mobile Customers Protest AT&T Acquisition

There is absolutely nothing good for existing T-Mobile customers about joining the largest network AT&T that already has 95 million customers.  T-Mobile has 34 million happy customers who enjoy being on their own network where fewer people are competing for bandwidth and spectrum in surrounding areas.  It is inevitable that crappier coverage and service will take place on a network of 130 million people.    How many times have you heard T-Mobile customers complain about slow speeds or poor data capacity?  Never . . . because T-Mobile's HSPA+ 4G network is fast and data connectivity is reliable.  Why, it's likely because there are not any iPhones on the network and there are fewer people in surrounding areas competing for data connectivity.  Express or discontent below with the acquisition because it will be horrible for customers.  

Block the AT&T & T-Mobile Merger

Mobile Data Offload: Controlled Network Gateways vs Open WiFi

Not all mobile data traffic is created equal.  Don't be surprised to see your smartphone struggle to get data in the near future.  Carriers are increasingly going to be sniffing your mobile data traffic and discriminate what packet data is coming across the network.  For example: if the company wanted to give preferential treatment to Hulu traffic and block Youtube traffic they could and will start doing this.  Why do carriers want to discriminate data, because this is their only solution to maintain control of the network while also reducing the amount of data on their network.  One alternative would be to offload various sources of traffic to WiFi but carriers are hesitant to do this because they can't add any perceived value or control you.  Consumers are not going to like the user experience and carriers will spin their value add in many bogus ways.  This strategy only limits innovation and is highly short-sighted. 

Wireless Network Armageddon in 2012


The analysis compiled three notable studies on mobile data traffic growth from Cisco Systems, Coda Research, and the Yankee Group. The average of these three studies estimates mobile data traffic to grow 5x between 2009-2011, 20x between 2009-2013, and 35x between 2009-2014. FCC Chairman Julius Genachowski indicated that these studies were done before the iPad/tablet boom and therefore the growth may actually be understated. Our study shows that cell site growth is 7% while decelerating and Wi-Fi growth is accelerating to around 40%. in the U.S.

There is obviously going to be a spectrum deficit and the pain that consumers are feeling is going to get even worse. Some solutions trying to tackle the problem include hardware at each cell site to optimize the radio networks, offloading data to Wi-Fi and femtocells. Media optimization and compression will likely be used as well and might be more cost-effective.  However, ultimately there will be 10-20 times more Wi-Fi networks and soon there will be more organic Wi-Fi management companies like Boingo, Fon & Google Wifi (TBD) to help users access the almost free networks.

T-Mobile Wifi Phone Calls on Android Phones


T-Mobile has announced Wi-Fi Calling technology with the upcoming availability of built-in Wi-Fi Calling solutions planned for a wide selection of Android powered smartphones, including the recently announced new T-Mobile myTouch and Motorola DEFY with MOTOBLUR. All have the Android 2.2 operating system named Froyo. Hopefully, this Smart Wifi app will become available on future G2 updates.

Kineto offers the wireless industry's only combined Wi-Fi-based Smart Offload solution. Kineto’s Wi-Fi-based Smart Offload application enables mobile phone users to turn any standard Wi-Fi access point into a seamless extension of the T-Mobile network, allowing subscribers to receive all their mobile services when connected via Wi-Fi. This application helps solve the Capacity Crunch. Resolves the 3G Indoor Coverage Challenge. Addresses the perceived mobile VoIP threat Helps improve battery performance by enabling handsets to transmit at lower power when attached to a Wi-Fi access point, and thereby increase handsets' talk and standby times.

Wi-Fi Calling for Android is built upon the same technology as UMA, but is a different implementation from T-Mobile's past offerings. T-Mobile’s current Wi-Fi Calling solution which operates on BlackBerry smartphones, for instance, seamlessly hands off calls from T-Mobile’s network to Wi-Fi networks, Wi-Fi Calling for Android does not. T-Mobile Wi-Fi Calling for Android increases coverage and but unfortunately still uses voice minutes on your plan.


Call Failed or Dropped Calls?

It is virtually impossible to complete a call these days without a minimum of at least one dropped call.  Why does this seem to happen at the beginning of the call several times and they seem to work fine?  Failed calls and dropped calls are far more annoying than dead zones themselves.  There is much evidence to point out that as data speeds increase exponentially and the number of users increases on the networks that most cell phone users will experience more coverage and reception problems. Industry studies suggest that as the density of mobile phone users increases for wireless access to cell phone towers the likelihood of dropped calls and data congestion gets much worse.

Most 3G mobile phone users can identify several locations where their smartphone consistently drops calls. Our solution is to provide more transparency about where capacity is needed for data offloading from the network via Wifi to relieve carrier networks. Click on the map links above to report dropped call locations.  Here are some steps to follow after you have submitted your complaint on our map:

The most common cause of dropped calls is not exactly what you may think.  Most people think your proximity to the cell phone tower or location is most important.  However, the amount of people on the same cell tower or network around you is actually the most important these days as competition for signals intensifies.  Obviously, your cell phone will have the strongest signal outdoors and when fewer people are using the phone around you.  Densely populated areas near offices and apartment buildings usually experience the most dropped calls.  Also, rush hour in your car is another common location for dropped calls.

Did you also know that 3G networks actually breath?  This means signal strengths are constantly being adjusted by the carrier according to the other users around you.  If your signal strength has always been good in an area, but suddenly goes bad, try removing the battery from your phone.   Leave the battery out for at least 10 seconds. Replace it and check your signal strength again.   

All of this evidence might encourage you to ask yourself if it still makes sense to stick with your larger mobile operators AT&T and Verizon?  Or might you be better off going with a smaller regional carrier carrier who has less customers around you competing for access to the network?

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New Features on the T-Mobile G2 Phone

G1 Google Phone vs G2 Google Phone

T-Mobile has launched its G2 phone which has a much faster processor and runs on the HSPA+ network.  I was able to pick up my phone just before the CTIA show as a favor and love it already.  Here are some apps that were pre-loaded on the phone which I love.  Google Voice, Google Listen for Podcasts, Swipe for texting with one hand, Google Places for finding locations easily, Google Goggles, PhotoBucket and many enhanced contact syncing features for Facebook, Twitter and Gmail.

Its a great phone and the form factor is even better than I thought.  The flip-up screen and the placement of the navigation bar are in the areas you would expect.  The power button on top makes it easy to turn on a swipe to turn on.  The screen is slightly larger and it sits nicely in your hand to use without the keyboard.  I had the Samsung Galaxy for a short time and returned it because I prefer to have a keyboard and didn't like the way it sat in my hand as a wider phone.  However, the G2 is perfect and much better even though it is slightly heavier than the Galaxy but slightly lighter than the iPhone 4.  I haven't noticed a difference in the processing power as promoted on the Galaxy and think the G2 processing power sufficient.  Also, the 8GB micro SD card creates a lot of room.  We still aren't sure if there is a front-facing camera but the rear video and picture camera is excellent.

Everyone who has had the G1 knows about the dreaded memory loss and it has become virtually impossible to run apps on a phone without the Task Killer application running in the background.  The G2 has much more processing power and expanded memory capability on the 2 GB internal and 8 GB SD card and internal memory.  I would also expect to see a lot of data offloading features pushing capacity off applications like YouTube from the carrier network onto Wifi. Google Maps has a stronger presence on it with preloaded apps  It remains to be seen what will Google's answer be to Apple's Facetime application that seems to be captivating iPhone 4 users.  It seems to me that this could be a feature enhancement of Google iChat and Google Voice integration.   A Skype IPO could help light a fire in this area as wel..

T-Mobile seems to be the preferred network if you are Google user and live in a large metropolitan area.  The trend today seems to be smart users moving to smaller carriers with less people on the network.  That certainly is not AT&T or Verizon who own 66% of the market.

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Goldman Sachs Bullish on Telecom Stocks?

I have been hearing lots retail and institutional players scooping up AT&T & Verizon shares recently chasing nice 7%+ yields.  One way for people to do this is through the IYZ ETF which contains a basket of telecom stocks which include mostly: Sprint, Verizon & AT&T which make up 28% of the IYZ portfolio's holdings.  The IYZ ETF has a yield of 3.7% according to Google and Yahoo Finance based on the last dividend payout.



This video above was originally broadcast from the floor of the CBOE by the ETF Super Pit Hit on the OptionMonster YouTube channel on Wednesday, June 9, 2010. The video highlights potential bullishness or a possible hedge on the  trading desks of the largest bank Goldman Sachs.  Apparently a customer of Goldman was looking to buy the Telecom Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) IYZ iShares. Goldman Sachs wanted a July 30th (Exp) 20 call option (Bullish) which is not too far out of the money and relatively cheap considering all of the market volatility we have had as of late.  Some sophisticated investors might also argue this as a bearish indicator or a hedge against a short position in the ETF or long position in an individual stock.  However, strangely Goldman wanted a funky expiration date of July 30th and not the normal month-end expiration July 16 or August 20 (see options expiration calendar).  I am scratching my head as to why they would not take the middle of the month of July or August.  Is there some additional telecom news coming to market in the next 45 days?  Lets watch and see.  Maybe a potential merger or acquisition of T-Mobile or Sprint?

If ETF does make it above 20 it should have room to fly based on technical chargs but what could be the catalyst for this to happen?  Are they predicting that all of the 4G / LTE buzz and the iPhone 4 phone (Not 4G only 3G) will be the driver for this?  I happen to think telecom is going to face some fierce competition from FREE Wi-Fi as the primary competitor to LTE and 4G. I am not particularly bullish but I have owned the ETF for a few years.  The industry and the ETF have not performed particularly well over the last 10 years but I am hoping for the best.


One thing that surprises me is that only 25% of the fund is invested in Mobile Telecom companies and the other 75% is in Fixed Line Telecommunications companies.  Yes . . .  fixed line telecom is a bit more stable but that is not where the growth is.  I am also surprised not to see a small portion of the fund invested in Clearwire as well (CLWR) even though it has its' share of financial issues.  The last thing that surprises me is that cable companies Comcast, Cablevision and Time Warner absent from the index. (CMCSA, CVC, TWC).  Cable Companies are making a huge push into telecom right now and will be direct competitors with AT&T and Verizon Wireless soon.

Ticker Name % of Assets
T AT&T INC 18.31
VZ VERIZON COMMUNICATIONS INC 12.84
S SPRINT NEXTEL CORP 8.35
CTL CENTURYLINK INC 6.25
Q QWEST COMMUNICATIONS INTL 5.23
WIN WINDSTREAM CORP 4.9
NIHD NII HOLDINGS INC 4.59
VMED VIRGIN MEDIA INC 4.02
LUK LEUCADIA NATIONAL CORP 3.49
TDS TELEPHONE AND DATA SYSTEMS 3.24
FTR FRONTIER COMMUNICATIONS CORP 3.08
PCS METROPCS COMMUNICATIONS INC 2.98
TWTC TW TELECOM INC 2.86
LVLT LEVEL 3 COMMUNICATIONS INC 2.3
LEAP LEAP WIRELESS INTL INC 1.63
ABVT ABOVENET INC 1.56
USM US CELLULAR CORP 1.38
CBB CINCINNATI BELL INC 1.3
NTLS NTELOS HOLDINGS CORP 1.2
RCNI RCN CORP 1.2
CBEY CBEYOND INC 1.05
PAET PAETEC HOLDING CORP 1.03
ATNI ATLANTIC TELE-NETWORK INC 1.01
CNSL CONSOLIDATED COMMUNICATIONS 1
ALSK ALASKA COMM SYSTEMS GROUP 0.97
SHEN SHENANDOAH TELECOMMUN CO 0.94
GLBC GLOBAL CROSSING LTD 0.91
USMO USA MOBILITY INC 0.87
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Poor 3G Coverage in Europe = Refunds

There are three large mobile network operators in the Netherlands and only T-Mobile sells the iPhone currently.  Similar to AT&T in the US, a large portion of T-Mobile's customer base is angry from lack of 3G data access, dropped calls, and calls going directly to voicemail even with full 3G coverage.

It is now obvious that such problems aren't limited just to AT&T.  Similar to AT&T, the problems are worse in the largest and most tech-savvy cities like San Francisco and New York.  These problems are now so bad that T-Mobile is offering a little cashback for affected users.  Why doesn't AT&T do this?  iPhone users have complained about T-Mobile's data performance for some time, but recently the problem seems to have spun out of control. Not only is 3G data service slow, but voice service is also suffering in certain locations on 3G phones—not just the iPhone.

The iPad will soon arrive in Europe, along with a newer iPhone 4G with new data-intensive features such as video chat. The cell phone industry has been struggling with increased data usage by smartphone users, but with "unlimited" plans the increase in use doesn't lead to an increase in revenue, so expensive network upgrades directly impact the bottom line (and not in a good way). In this light, AT&T's move away from unlimited mobile data makes a lot of sense but users hate volume-based pricing for Internet access and this likely will have a long-term negative outcome.  Read More From Arstechica
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